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Short Term Load Forecasting
 

Short Term Load Forecasting

You need mission-critical information for your utility enterprise. With PRISM Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF) from Advanced Control Systems, you can plan:
  • Energy purchases and sales

  • Power generation unit start-up and shut-down

  • Load management

  • Network expansions

  • Manpower needs

PRISM STLF utilizes historical load and weather data to forecast the system load automatically every hour, for a 168-hour (7-day) rolling forecast. You can also request a 15-day forecast at any time.

Using both a weather-adaptive and a similar-day forecast methodology, PRISM STLF gives you the most accurate prediction. Each of these factors is weight-adjustable, so the predictive formula can be based entirely on either weather-adaptive or similar-day forecasting. An Exponential Smoothing Regression (ESR) model, as well as an Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model is used for forecasting.

Multiple copies of PRISM STLF can be installed in a system, allowing users in multiple load areas to execute independent programs, each supported by its own database and each forecasting load for a different area. It is highly customizable. After the initial model is built, incoming real-time load, temperature, wind speed and humidity data is automatically adjusted and allows the operator to continually monitor system accuracy and make adjustments as necessary.

Product overview in pdf format


 

Contents © 2008 Advanced Control Systems, Inc. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
This site last updated: 17 July 2008.